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Municipal Bond Forum

FMSbonds, Inc.'s Bond Forum™ is an exclusive opportunity for investors to submit questions and comments on the bond market or to respond to one of our articles.

To participate, just send us an e-mail. Be sure to include your name or initials and your state of residence. Posted e-mails may be edited for length and clarity. If you prefer a private response, please note that in your e-mail. Responses are provided by James A. Klotz, president and co-founder of FMSbonds, Inc., a municipal bond specialist for more than 35 years; Dr. Jay H. Abrams, chief municipal credit analyst; and other members of the firm as noted.

Postings are listed by date. You may also view postings by topic using the search box below. If you have any questions, please call us at 1-800-FMS-BOND (367-2663) or e-mail us.

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ACA, Radian

11/24/2009

What is your opinion of the bond insurer ACA, and do you think it will stay afloat and get ratings again? Also, do you have an opinion on Radian Asset Insurance as well? I am a customer of FMSbonds.

- J.S., Washington
Jay H. Abrams responds

 ACA continues to pay claims. The former "A"-rated bond insurer is under administration by the Maryland Department of Insurance. According to a study done by a consultant to the department, ACA should have sufficient claims paying ability to meet any anticipated claims until its last insured bonds mature. ACA posts its most current financials on its Web site, www.aca.com. ACA continues to monitor its outstanding policies and provide interventional measures when required. ACA has no plans to regain its rating or re-enter the bond insurance market.

Radian continues to be rated "BB-" by Standard & Poor's.  Radian's downgrades were in response to the sub-prime real estate exposure of its parent company and real estate affiliates. Radian's public finance book of business is performing in line with expectations and Radian continues to generate income for its parent. It is doubtful that Radian will regain its “AA” rating or resume writing new business.

Despite budget woes, GO pledge strong

11/17/2009

I am 61 years old and have a large portion of my retirement portfolio in general obligation Arizona muni bonds. I am concerned about potential defaults due to the budget crisis in Arizona.  Most of my bonds are school bonds. Do you have any suggestions?

- S.R., Arizona
Jay H. Abrams responds

In its most recent review of Arizona's GO rating, Standard & Poor's noted: "In accordance with the Arizona Constitution, the state cannot issue general obligation (GO) bonds. Therefore, the state has historically issued sales tax-, gas tax-, and appropriation-backed debt." Nevertheless, S&P has an “AA” rating with Negative Outlook on the state, reflecting a growing budget gap and lack of agreement on a solution.

School district bonds are generally secured solely by the districts. There is no doubt that most districts are experiencing financial pressures similar to the state itself. With that in mind, however, we still believe that bonds issued as general obligations will be paid before other obligations, as is indicated by the GO pledge.

It is rare to hear budgetary discussions include talk of not paying bonded debt. While this is always possible, we do not see school districts with ratings of “A” or above being in danger of missing debt service payments. “BBB” category general obligations are expected to meet debt service obligations as well, but tend to have thinner financial reserves, less financial flexibility to raise revenues and weaker economies.

You may want to consider diversifying your portfolio so that you are not overly reliant on any one municipal bond sector. In any case, we still rely on more than 100 years of history that has seen municipal bonds maintain one of the strongest records for repayment of any investment asset class. Although times are tough, we still believe bondholders of "essential" public service bonds can expect to receive the interest and principal payments that they are entitled to.

NC housing bonds

11/16/2009

First, what do you charge to buy bonds? Second, we bought NC Housing Finance Agency Home Ownership Revenue Bonds 1998 Trust Agreement, rated AA2. We paid $970 per bond and purchased $100,000. The bonds are selling at $940 but have an interest of 5.20%, and we have already received $10,400 in interest in two years. The cost does not concern us. We will not sell these bonds and will pass them on to our children. I am 95 and my dear wife is 83. We have more than $300,000 in cash and want to buy more of the same, but would like your feelings about their safety, even though they are rated AA2. (Cusip 658207HH1.)  Your comments will be surely appreciated.

- J.A., North Carolina
Jay H. Abrams responds

The North Carolina Housing Bonds that you asked about are rated in the “AA” category by both Moody's and Standard & Poor's. S&P indicates they believe North Carolina Housing's single family home ownership is conservatively run. A check on the latest disclosures regarding this bond shows only 12 loans out of a total of 653 to be delinquent for either 60 or 90 days. Additionally, only four loans were in foreclosure as of June 30, 2009, the date of the report. This appears to be a strong credit that has performed very well in the current economic crisis. That said, you might want to diversify your holdings so that you’re not too exposed in the housing sector to the exclusion of other municipal bond types.

All prices on our Web site are net to the investor. There are no additional fees or costs. Naturally, as with all bond purchases, there is interest to be paid that has accrued since the last semi-annual interest payment.

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This report is produced solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any securities or related financial instruments. This report is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable but no independent verification has been made, nor is its accuracy or completeness guaranteed.