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Misplaced bonds
What if I purchased some bonds and they were misplaced -- could
anyone cash them in?
J.K.
Mr. Klotz responds: Most bonds are either
in book-entry or registered form and can only be negotiated by the
owner.
There are still bearer bonds outstanding which can be a bit problematic.
If you lose bearer bonds, be sure to report the loss immediately.
10/26/05
Coupon rate, current yield
I'm new to your site and have found it very educational. What is
the difference between the coupon rate and the current yield? Which
one determines the amount earned?
A.D.
Mr. Klotz responds: The coupon rate reflects
the amount of interest paid annually based on the face amount of
the bond (par value).
The current yield is computed by dividing the dollar price into
the coupon. Example: A 5% coupon selling at a price of 105.00 has
a current yield of 4.76% (5.00 divided by 105 = 4.76).
10/26/05
Santa Rosa Bay Bridge bonds
I bought Santa Rosa Bay Bridge Bonds from FMS a while ago and just
noticed on the site that they are listed as "Rev Technical Default.
"However, you're still selling them at a premium, and neither the
Moody's nor S&P sites indicate any problem. The most recent Moody's
rating is from June, the credit outlook is stable and there's no
watch. What's up?
J.L., Florida
Dr. Abrams responds: As I'm sure you are
aware, the Santa Rosa Bay Bridge has fallen short from its original
projections for both ridership and revenues. As a result, the authority
was forced to use funds from its debt service reserve to make full
payments to bondholders. Under the indenture, this constitutes a
"technical" default since debt service coverage tests were below
the level required and the debt service reserve was utilized. Investors
holding both the insured (which you own) and uninsured bonds have
been paid in full and on time. This means there is no "payment"
default. Such a payment default would occur if revenues were so
low that the debt service reserve was completely drawn down and
there were inadequate funds available to pay bondholders the full
amount promised. In this instance, insured bondholders would still
receive the full amount due them since bond insurance would "kick
in" and pay any shortfall.
The rating agencies have Santa Rosa rated below investment grade
due to its weak revenue and traffic history. Recently, traffic has
increased substantially and revenues have increased at a rapid rate.
While some of this increase is due to new construction at the south
end of the bridge in combination with better consumer acceptance
of the bridge, the state Department of Transportation and other
experts believe that a portion of the increase may also be due to
reconstruction of I-10 and the widening and reconstruction of a
parallel "free" bridge, which has driven traffic to Santa Rosa.
We won't know to what extent the traffic increase is due to reconstruction
efforts and the inconvenience of the alternative routes until those
projects are complete.
In the meantime, estimates of a potential payment default on the
uninsured bonds have been pushed out by several years. The rating
agencies, while keeping non-investment grade ratings on the bridge,
have chosen to keep "stable" outlooks on the Bridge since present
traffic and revenue patterns are expected to keep the bridge out
of payment default for several years. When the overall trend is
better known upon completion of the I-10 and other bridge projects,
the rating agencies will likely review Santa Rosa and determine
whether the rating should change.
[From J.L. in Florida: Thanks very much for your detailed response.
I'd forgotten that the bonds I purchased were insured. I seldom
buy bonds below investment grade, but double-checked only the coupon
and maturity date before writing you. One of the chief advantages
of FMS is that all the bonds have been analyzed by you as well as
by Moody's and/or S&P.]
10/14/05
Complete bond forum
Many thanks for the most complete "Bond Investors Forum" I have
read in the past 40 years. It is extremely well written and deserving
of recognition. I have, on numerous occasions, recommended your
firm to newcomers to the bond market as a good source of purchasing
bonds and will continue to do so. Wishing you continued success.
B.Z., New York
10/13/05
Rolling over bond fund money to an account with individual bonds
I will be retiring within two years and will have a defined benefit
plan retirement of approximately $5,000 per month. In addition,
I have another tax-deferred benefit plan, 100% of which is invested
in a bond fund, which has been good to me over the last two years,
although it has declined in value recently. When I retire, I would
like to roll the bond fund over to another tax-deferred account.
The balance in the bond fund is approximately $650,000. I also have
real estate valued at approximately $800,000 (no mortgages) and
cash reserves of $130,000 in CDs. I have been reading the Bond Forum
and know how you feel about bond funds. Can I roll over the money
in the bond fund to a tax-deferred account owning individual bonds?
My lifestyle is such that I don't need additional income to live
on.
G.L., Arkansas
Mr. Klotz responds: As you suggest in your
email, your tax-deferred account can be "rolled over" into an individual
retirement account (IRA).
An account value of $650,000 is more than adequate to provide ample
diversification as well as income to fund distribution requirements
down the road.
In your IRA, you can own the same individual securities as your
mutual fund but forego the additional costs and fees.
10/13/05
State bond banks
Would you please comment on state bond banks and what similarities
and differences exist between their offerings and ordinary general
obligation municipal bonds?
S.K., Texas
Dr. Abrams responds: Bond banks are state
agencies created to provide low-cost financing to small communities
that would be forced to pay significantly higher interest rates
if they borrowed on their own. At least 12 states have bond banks
and each operates differently. The advantage to a community is that
ratings on bond bank financings are usually credit enhanced through
a moral obligation pledge of the state, a state aid intercept mechanism
or a financing structure that allows overcollateralization. None
of these "enhancements" are equal to the pledge of a state's general
obligation. However, the bonds are typically secured in such a way
as to allow a bond rating between that of the state, and the borrower's
own credit quality.
Bond banks allow the "pooling" of small loans into one larger bond
issue, spreading transactional costs over all participating borrowers
in the pool. In some states, bond bank issues may be restricted
as to length, size of loan, or project type. The rules governing
bond banks vary among the states using them. Generally, the borrowers
using the bond bank are smaller and riskier and may not have been
able to access the capital markets on their own. Since this is the
case, loans need to be reviewed carefully by bond bank staff to
insure minimal default possibilities after issuance.
Since bond banks are not usually issued with the direct full faith
and credit of a state, they usually carry a bond rating below that
of the state. This would especially be the case where the financing
is structured based on overcollateralization and doesn't carry the
state's credit or moral obligation. Bond banks have been useful
tools for certain borrowers and have generally proven to be successful
financing mechanisms with a solid track record.
10/12/05
Long ladder
You regularly write against laddering, justifying the position
partly by saying that the typical ladder goes out only 10 years.
However there is no reason to limit a ladder to 10 years. A ladder
can go out 20 or 30 years. If that is done with an initial large
sum, then as each group of bonds becomes due, they are replaced
with bonds with the most distant maturities. If interest rates stay
the same or fall, one will give up some return. However, one will
have some protection in case there is a steep rise in interest rates.
As we all agree that the future course of interest rates cannot
be predicted with any accuracy, a steep rise in rates is a clear
possibility. It seems to me that your recommended strategy - putting
all funds in the longest maturities - is very risky for investors
looking for a safe return. The fact that it would have worked well
in the last 10 or 20 years is not meaningful when interest rate
cycles tend to be much longer than 10 or 20 years. It is also worth
noting that if one had a regular stream of funds (say, every few
years) to invest, and followed your strategy of buying only long-term
bonds, one would eventually end with a laddered portfolio.
R.A., Illinois
Mr. Klotz responds: We have no quarrel with
your suggestion. We are against the traditional 10-year ladder,
which sacrifices 40% to 50% of the income available on 20- or 30-year
bonds.
We agree that interest rate cycles usually last longer than 20
years. That is why we anticipate this current cycle of lower rates,
which began in 1982, to extend much further into the future. Nevertheless,
bond investors should not overlook the additional reinvestment dollars
available on longer-term securities.
10/10/05
Low-rated bonds and insurance
Why should one be concerned about buying a low-rated bond if it
is insured by a quality insurer?
R.W., Florida
Mr. Klotz responds: The only time it might
matter would be if there was a default by the issuer and the insurance
company did not have the financial ability to meet its obligations
to pay principal and interest. This has never occurred primarily
because the quality insurers are well funded and have strict criteria
regarding issues they insure.
10/9/05
Key is net-after-tax return
I'm 66 and retired. I'm selling my house and will have about $500,000
to $600,000 to invest in a fixed-return investment. I live in Washington
with no income tax and was interested in whether you recommend munis
over Treasury bills. I'm of course looking for the highest return
on my money as I have no other income and don't see being able to
reinvest any of the interest.
K.S., Washington
Mr. Klotz responds: The answer to your question
is likely to be that you need both.
Investing in taxable Treasuries might push you into a tax bracket
that would warrant owning some municipal bonds. The key is to achieve
the best "net after tax" return. This would probably mean utilizing
a blend of Treasuries and munis in the optimum proportions.
10/6/05
Short-term 'layering'?
I could be wrong, but what about the strategy of short term layering
of bonds (two to five years) in a rising interest rate environment?
How much would interest rates have to rise over the next few years
to counter your view on the disadvantages of laddering?
N.F.
Mr. Klotz responds: This strategy only makes
sense to us if you have the ability to accurately predict interest
rate movements. The Federal Reserve has been hiking short-term interest
rates since June 2004 (rising interest rate environment?).
At that time the 10- and 30-year Treasury bonds were yielding 4.70%
and 5.37% respectively. After 11 Fed rate increases, these yields
now stand at 4.28% and 4.55%.
As you can see, long-term interest rates have been declining while
short rates have been rising. If you implemented your ladder in
June 2004, as opposed to buying long-term bonds you will never make
up the sacrificed income. This is why laddering is a flawed strategy
for income investors. If your objective is 100% liquidity and maintenance
of principal, park your funds in a money market.
By the time the Fed is done tightening and short-term interest
rates begin to decline, we will likely be looking at much lower
long-term rates also.
9/29/05
RANs
If a town issues both rated G.O.s and unrated Revenue Anticipation
Notes (RANs), can the same rating be assumed for the unrated RANs?
V.L, Massachusetts
Dr. Abrams responds: In short, the answer
is no. The general obligation rating indicates the town has pledged
to use all of its resources, including raising ad valorem property
taxes, in order to pay debt service. A G.O. bond typically carries
the strongest pledge a community can give.
An unrated RAN, on the other hand, can be backed by a particular
revenue stream up to the limit of that revenue stream. For example,
a sales tax on hotels and meals. In such a case, only the tax proceeds
from hotels and meals are pledged, nothing else. RANS are usually
issued in anticipation of receiving a specific revenue source and
usually must be repaid by the end of the current fiscal year.
In summary, the RAN is normally more limited in the pledge behind
it, has a shorter time limit within which the revenues must be collected,
and is restricted in ways a GO pledge is not.
9/27/05
When bonds are subject to AMT
You say that a bond subject to AMT should be clearly noted in
the description of the bond. I do see that some bonds say "Subject
to AMT" in the description and some say "non-taxable."
Is there any other type of "tax status"? Does non-taxable
mean tax exempt from federal and state taxes (assuming the bond
is issued in my home state)? Can you elaborate a little on AMT status?
We want to invest some more money in tax-exempt bonds and have begun
researching the best way to do that. While we certainly don't need
another company to deal with, we are considering consolidating some
of these accounts. How are you different from these other companies?
L.B., Missouri
Mr. Klotz responds: The AMT status of a bond
is required to be disclosed on the confirmation of purchase. A reputable
broker/dealer will also be glad to document the tax status of your
bond purchase as it relates to federal and state taxes.
On our Web site "non taxable" means free from federal
and state taxes for residents of most issuing states. Bonds labeled
"non-taxable" would not be subject to the AMT.
AMT is a required disclosure item and is an integral part of the
description of a tax-free bond. This information can be documented
through FINRA recognized information services such as Bloomberg or
J.J. Kenny.
As far as the Bond Forum, we attempt to respond to our e-mail inquiries
as rapidly as possible. We then review the questions and answers
to determine which would be the most instructive to other bond investors
and reprint these in the Bond Forum. Our goal is to provide practical
"how to" information that will enlighten and protect investors
when making a bond purchase.
FMSbonds is a FINRA registered broker/dealer specializing in tax-free
bonds. Bonds are our only business. If you choose to talk with one
of our representatives, you will find he/she to be 100% focused
on the bond markets. We provide online account access and are the
only firm we know of that provides truly interactive bond purchases,
which can only be offered if a firm carries its own inventory. Other
companies advertising thousands of bond offerings are essentially
offering other dealers' merchandise. Because we own the bonds we
sell, we perform our own due diligence on every item we offer, which
enables our representatives, who are intimate with the salient features
of the bonds, to assist in determining the bonds most suitable to
your investment parameters.
9/22/05
Mismanaged accounts
I agree with your philosophy as far as bond management. What is
your opinion on advisors who recommend active bond management as
a separately managed account to capture gains and losses. They say
they get better institutional pricing, which more then makes up
for the yearly fee, which is a percentage of assets.
A.C., New Jersey
Mr. Klotz responds: Our opinion has not changed.
Actively managing a municipal bond portfolio usually only benefits
the manager.
Quality municipal bonds move in tandem as a function of interest
rates. Since all bonds move together, buys and sells occur in the
same market when a profit is taken on one bond a higher price will
be paid for its replacement.
Talk about "institutional" pricing is nonsense. Ask whoever
says they will provide bonds at better prices to put this guarantee
in writing. These claims will stop.
9/19/05
Who to trust?
It seems that every time I suggest to my broker that he consider
some of your Web site information that contradicts his opinion -
for example, waiting for interest rate moves and a laddering approach
- he dismisses it as being information that is designed to encourage
investors to put all their money in a bond program, rather than
other alternatives. How do you determine what's best for the average
investor?
C.M.
Mr. Klotz responds: Why not make your own
observations and trust your common sense? After all, it is you who
will ultimately be responsible for your financial security, not
your broker.
We have never suggested that investors have 100% of their funds
in tax-free bonds, but bonds should be an integral part of every
portfolio.
We only claim expertise in tax-free bonds, and in this regard it
is indisputable that long- term, tax-free bond buyers whose goal
is to maximize income on each purchase have fared considerably better
than those who have been persuaded to utilize a 10-year laddered
approach.
Your common sense will confirm that since interest rates have been
declining or steady for the last 30 years, the short-term, 10-year
laddered portfolio that sacrifices
40% to 60% of available income has been a costly strategy.
Your broker's attitude is not uncommon or unfamiliar to us. It is
the reason why so many of our clients buy equities and other investment
products from various brokerages, but come to us for tax-free bonds.
In fact, almost 50% of the bonds we sell are delivered to our clients'
accounts held at other firms.
9/9/05
The best of all worlds
Is there such a thing as a fixed-duration, long-term Florida municipal
bond fund that would return all capital at the end of the fund life
despite intermediate fluctuations in NAV?
B.G., Florida
Mr. Klotz responds: You're describing the
perfect income security, and yes, it does exist. It's an individual
tax-free bond.
As we've always pointed out, one of the disadvantages of owning
a bond fund is it does not have a specific maturity date. If it
did, there would be no rationale for the substantial sales charges
and ongoing management fees.
9/8/05
Comparing yields
I was told that you need to compare yields to worst case scenario
(calls) rather than yields to maturity since bonds are priced to
the worst-case scenario. Do you agree? If so, do you then suggest
that I buy the highest "worst case" yield instead of the
highest yield to maturity?
C.V., California
Mr. Klotz responds: It makes sense to look
at both. As a premium bond investor, I want to buy bonds that yield
25 to 50 basis points more to the call (WCY) than the yield I can
buy on a new issue bond, of comparable quality, maturing in that
year.
The yield to maturity should also exceed the new issue yield to
maturity.
Regarding what you refer to as "higher yields on smaller coupon
bonds": appreciation on discount bonds is subject to capital
gains tax. This should be reflected in the yield-to-maturity.
9/7/05
Bond Basics
If I buy a bond, can I sell it before its maturity date? Will I
lose any money? If a bond has a coupon rate of 6.125% and WCY of
3.64%, how much interest will I earn?
A.B., Connecticut
Mr. Klotz responds: Bonds are liquid investments
that can be sold any time prior to maturity, without penalty. The
price you receive will be based on market conditions at the time
of sale.
"Coupon" refers to the fixed rate the bond pays annually
until it matures. On a $100,000 investment, you would earn $6,125.00
per year. "WCY" stands for worst-case yield. This is the
yield you would receive if the bond was called by the issuer prior
to maturity.
9/7/05
Waiting for Greenspan
I wanted to invest my money after Greenspan spoke recently, expecting
to invest at higher rates since everyone expected the Fed to raise
rates. What's going on? Why are rates not rising? The long end of
the muni curve was higher yielding before Greenspan spoke. The short
end of the curve is also lower yielding before Greenspan spoke.
Should I continue to wait knowing that the Fed will continue to
raise rates in the future? Is this rally in the market just a fluke?
C.V., California
Mr. Klotz responds: Actually, long-term bond
rates are lower today than they were when the Fed began its series
of short-term rate hikes in June 2004. The reasoning is the Fed,
by raising short-term rates, will keep inflation in check. Inflation
concerns cause long-term yields to rise.
8/12/05
Simple, or not
AYou state in the article "ETMs
and You," , "The concept is simple: when buying ETM
bonds, investors should be certain that all calls have been defeased
or the bonds have been priced to the call date." While that
may be simple to you, it's not that simple for individual bond investors
to ascertain that an ETM bond's calls have been defeased and the
bonds have been priced to the first valid call. How many investors
know where to find this information? If an ETM bond's description
doesn't state anything, are we to assume that its calls have not
been defeased and it is not priced to its first call, or are we
to assume the opposite? Two simple categories in your bond descriptions
would alleviate this concern for investors: "This bond's calls
have been defeased: yes or no," and "This bond is subject
to call before the ETM maturity date: yes or no under no circumstances."
With these two descriptive categories and a mandatory "yes
or no," much confusion and suspicion would be eliminated. Now
it appears that the investor is subtly being told, "Let the
buyer beware," which not only alienates the investor but probably
deters future investment. One municipal dealer I used to deal with
actually had a category, "callable." However, there were
instances that when it said "no", the "no" wasn't
really a "no." There were extraordinary call provisions
that would make that "no" a "yes" and the investor
didn't find out about it until it was called.
J.M., Illinois
Mr. Klotz responds: We agree the investors
should not be forced to obtain this information themselves. It should
be provided by the brokerage firm offering the bonds and the call
status should be noted on the confirmation of sale. Unfortunately,
there are too many firms selling bonds that may not be aware of
all the nuances of escrowed securities, thus our caveat.
There are two ETM offerings on our site today that illustrate this
point. The Intermountain Power Agency 5% due 2012 bonds are escrowed
to maturity but are callable prior to maturity. As you can see,
they are priced to reflect this call. The North Carolina 5 1/2%
bonds due 2014 listed below them are not callable prior to maturity.
This is reflected on the bond detail screen, which is accessed by
clicking on the bond offering. These bonds are priced to maturity.
It is the responsibility of the brokerage firm, not the issuer,
to be as clear as possible regarding the call status of escrowed
bonds. Most brokerage firms have this information available to them
through information services such as Bloomberg or J.J. Kenny. Our
advice: if you don't see it in the description, ask.
8/01/05
Trying to avoid laddering
I will soon have a large amount of money that I'm going to invest
in bonds and was considering laddering. Even though your articles
make sense, what if I invested all the funds into a long-term bond
when interest rates were at their lowest?
S.S., Florida
Mr. Klotz responds: Interest rates are cyclical.
By maximizing your income you will be able to weather a period of
higher rates (which is always followed by lower rates). Most laddering
strategies, with the longest maturity being 10 years, sacrifice
25% to 40% of the income available on longer-term bonds.
Timing the interest rate markets can be treacherous. Investors who
have employed this laddering strategy over the last 20 years have
continually been forced to reinvest their maturing bonds at lower
rates.
The additional income produced by long-term bonds allows reinvestment
at the higher rates if they do come about.
7/29/05
Early redemption
AFirst, I want to say that I thoroughly enjoy your columns. My
question is concerning Early Redemption. As I understand it, most
bonds are subject to early redemption. It seems that ER makes the
yields completely unpredictable, as the bond issuer may redeem (call?)
the bonds at any time regardless of the call features. Can you please
comment?
M.M., Ohio
Mr. Klotz responds: Most municipal bonds
carry an "extraordinary" or "catastrophic" redemption
feature, but are rarely exercised. These calls usually are exercised
in the event of catastrophic circumstances causing the funded projects
to be cancelled. The parameters for this type of call are outlined
in the official statement.
7/29/05
The IRS and capital loss
I have been a retail broker for 18 years and I really enjoy your
site. It's straightforward, concise and results-oriented. Thanks
for your work. I was reading your Q&A and noted with interest
(hah!) the question about declaring a capital loss when a bond bought
at a premium is called or comes due at a lower price. My reading
of the tax law agrees with yours, which is to say that you cannot
claim the loss. What is interesting to me is that every CPA that
I deal with claims the loss! I have a large bond client who reads
OS's cover to cover. He spoke with three different folks at the
IRS and all three of them told him that it was OK to take the loss.
Once again de facto and de jure go head to head and de facto wins!
I also remember starting my career in 1987 and 1988 with 8% insured
Metropolitan Washington Airport bonds. Back then, people declined.
My how things change.
S.G., Virginia
Calling bonds at a premium price
A bond broker told me that if an issuer does not call a bond at
a premium, say 103, and waits to call the bond at par, the issuer
must still pay 103 to the bondholder. This doesn't sound logical.
Did I misunderstand him?
J.F., California
Mr. Klotz responds: As you concluded, this
is not only illogical, it is inaccurate. Optional "call features"
on municipal bonds usually offer a premium initially and systematically
decline to 100.00. Theoretically, if the bond is not called at a
premium price, the bondholder is compensated by keeping the bond
for a longer period of time.
7/25/05
Fully insured bonds
Would you please explain to me what a fully insured bond is?
D.G.
Mr. Klotz responds: Municipal bond insurers
guarantee the timely payment of principal and interest on a tax-free
bond. The insurance provides an additional layer of security to
the bondholder. In the unlikely case of default by the issuer, the
insurer has the option to continue payments on the original schedule
or pay the full "face value" to the bondholder immediately.
7/20/05
Investing and your state of residence
I'm 35 and currently a California resident. If I buy really long-term
California municipals with the intention of holding them until they
mature, am I constraining myself for the tax benefits to remain
a California resident for the long term? It's too soon for me to
know where I'll want to live in five years, much less 30. If and
when I move elsewhere, I could sell the California bonds and replace
them with bonds from my new resident state, but that would involve
transaction costs. Also, it would undermine the buy-and-hold strategy
and put me at risk of selling at a discount. Are municipal bonds
best as an investment for people who know that where they live is
where they'll always be? Thanks for a very informative site with
well-reasoned and persuasive advice.
S.O., California
Mr. Klotz responds: We fear you are unduly
concerned with the constraints of changing your state of residence.
Because California has one of the highest state tax rates in the
country, "swapping" into bonds issued by most other states
is easily accomplished.
Since the sale of your California bonds and the purchase of new
bonds would be executed under the same market conditions, any discounting
of your holdings would also be reflected in the new bonds purchased.
(Transaction costs should not be prohibitive.)
7/13/05
Mr. Stewart may be wrong, but you don't have a crystal ball, either.
Bottom line: Mr. Stewart has no ax to grind. You, on the other hand,
want to sell bonds now.
M.L., North Carolina
Mr. Klotz responds: This was precisely our
point. Since no one has a crystal ball, attempting to time interest
rate markets is the antithesis of "common sense." Our
quarrel with Mr. Stewart's column is not with his forecast, but
with the fact that he is forecasting. "Ax to grind" or
not, over the past 30 years, bond investors who bought long-term
bonds when their funds were available - and did not attempt to guess
the direction of interest rates - are very pleased they did.
6/27/05
Non-callable bonds in worst-case scenario
I own a number of long-term PA zero-coupon muni revenue bonds.
All of the bonds are AAA insured -- many are also ETM -- and they
reflect revenue from water and/or sewer systems. All of the bonds
were listed as "non-callable" when I purchased them, with
no conditions attached whatsoever. If the worst were to happen to
one or more of the water/sewer systems whose bonds I hold (e.g.,
large-scale destruction or significant long-term disruption due
to terrorism, major earthquake, etc.), can these bonds be called
(i.e., paid off at less than par prior to maturity) even though
they were listed as "non-callable" when I purchased them?
Or would I still be able to count on the $1,000 per bond value at
the original maturity date of the bonds? I have received much conflicting
advice on this from different brokers.
A.B., Pennsylvania
Jay Abrams, Chief Municipal Credit Analyst, FMSbonds,
Inc. responds: The bonds you asked about may both be rated
"AAA" but they are secured differently. Bonds that have
been escrowed to maturity (ETM) typically have been refunded by
a new bond issue. The proceeds of the new issue are invested in
U.S. Treasury securities and held in an account restricted in use
for the payment of the original bond issue on its interest and principal
due dates. Such bonds are no longer the responsibility of the original
issuer, no longer appear on its balance sheet and are considered
"defeased." In such a case, the relationship between the
fortunes of the original issuer and the payment of the original
bonds ceases to exist. Bondholders are solely secured by the Treasuries
held in the escrow account by the bond trustee. It is important
when buying such bonds to make sure they have been re-rated by a
major rating agency who looks to ensure that the defeasance has
actually occurred and that the cash flows will be adequate to pay
the bonds when due. Some escrowed issues are not re-rated by a rating
agency and the purchaser of such bonds will need to check the documents
on his/her own.
In the case of bonds rated "AAA" resulting from the purchase
of bond insurance, the insurance policy actually represents a second
level of security that is invoked in case the issuer fails to make
bond payments from its own sources. In such a case, the bond insurer
steps up to the plate and makes the payment. Such policies are noncancellable.
In the case of a bond default, the insurer has the option to continue
payments on the maturity schedule, or pay bondholders the face value
due to them at maturity. If the bond is a zero coupon, the accreted
value would be paid. This would result in the bond being retired
prior to its original maturity date.
In either case, both ETMs and "AAA" insured bonds are
considered among the most secure municipal securities available.
6/27/05
Yield-to-call on secondary market vs. new issues
I am retired and 75 years old. I rely on a large portfolio of municipal
bonds and income from my deferred income accounts to maintain my
style of living. I hold the bonds to maturity or call and never
pay attention to price fluctuations. I buy only high-grade bonds,
100 bonds at a time, (Aa1 or AA+ or better) and only pay attention
to coupons that will maintain my income. I buy bonds where the yield-to-call
is close to yield on new issues due on the call date. This always
means premium bonds. I now find that to get coupons of 4% or 5%,
I pay a higher premium price. Since these bonds mature in 15 to
25 years, and I have older bonds with higher coupons, and I have
cash equivalents and constant withdrawals from my IRAs, I have no
difficulty maintaining the desired income level with minimal change
in my net worth. I would be much interested in your opinion of this
strategy. Following your lead I avoid laddering.
R.Z., Florida
Mr. Klotz responds: We are in complete agreement
with your portfolio strategy. Our only question is in regard to
your comment comparing yield-to-call on secondary market items to
new issue bonds maturing in the same year. The yield-to-call on
secondary market items should exceed the yield to maturity of a
new issue maturing the same year.
6/22/05
Watching the watchers
Given the past scandals involving brokerage houses and their former
star analysts who were found not to have the best interests of investors
at heart, how confident are you that the municipal bond insurance
companies are themselves completely above board, and when the inevitable
financial debacle hits the muni bond investor, that these insurance
companies won't rely on the SODDIT defense (some other dude did
it)? Put another way, who is watching those who insure the municipal
bond investor against default and how can an investor be confident
in the financial stability of these companies?
L.C., New York
Jay Abrams, Chief Municipal Credit Analyst, FMSbonds,
Inc. responds: While recent scandals on Wall Street have
raised the eyebrows of investors everywhere, it is important to
realize a number of facts. The brokerage houses and star analysts
you allude to were on the equity side of the business, not fixed
income. Unlike equities, analysts in the fixed-income markets have
far less ability to impact market forces. Unlike in the equity markets,
rating agencies tend to have a much greater influence on pricing
than individual brokerage house analysts.
Your concern that there will be an "inevitable" financial
debacle in the municipal market is difficult to substantiate. Remember,
municipal bonds are used to finance capital improvements needed
by states, cities, hospitals and other essential public functions.
They are not issued by companies whose products may have limited
"shelf life," or based on a business plan unlikely to
succeed. As a result, the default history in the municipal market
is very small.
You also indicate unease with the headlines that have run recently
regarding certain business practices of MBIA, the municipal bond
insurer. However, the practices in question affect only a small
portion of MBIA's overall business. All three major rating agencies
(S&P, Moody's and Fitch) continually monitor the bond insurers
for both adequacy of capital and credit quality of their insured
portfolios. In fact, S&P released its annual review of MBIA
last week (affirming its AAA rating) and noted that MBIA's "management
has a long history of maintaining a strong capital position to support
business growth as it has expanded its underwriting." It is
also true that most of MBIA's and other insurers' credit portfolios
enjoy underlying investment grade ratings on their own.
Finally, MBIA and other insurers are also reviewed by state regulatory
bodies, investors, and others with a direct interest in the bond
insurance industry. You can visit the Web sites of these companies
and read their financial statements, SEC filings and other pertinent
information to help you develop a comfort level with their operation
and safety.
6/21/05
Maturities and effective taxable rate?
I am an FMS client and am happy with our relationship. Three questions:
First: Since I obtain most of my income from municipal bonds, I
end up in a low tax bracket. For example, my portfolio has an average
yield of 5%. Suppose I'm in the 20% tax bracket. Therefore, my taxable
bond equivalent, as I understand it, is 6.25%. If I were, instead,
to be invested in taxable paper, would my tax bracket go up? Second:
If I buy a 15-year bond at 103, keep it to maturity and redeem it
at par, I may not deduct the difference as a long-term loss, correct?
Effectively, the taxing authorities are saying that the premium
simply affected the yield. Is that right? My third question is the
other side of the same coin: If I buy a 15-year bond at 97 and keep
it to maturity, do I pick up the difference as a capital gain? Effectively,
then, the taxing authority is saying that the discount on the bond
is not simply affecting the yield. If my assumptions are correct,
then they are really having their cake and eating it, too. OK, while
we're discussing fairness, let me slip in a fourth question: Bond
issuers often specify call dates. I guess that's fair since we buyers
go into a particular issue with our eyes open. (Why don't we band
together and tell the issuers that we want certain give-back dates
at specified prices?) But, what about those "extraordinary"
call provisions? How can we guard against those?
M.P., Florida
Mr. Klotz responds: Your questions reflect
an excellent understanding of municipal bonds and the related tax
implications.
You are correct in thinking that your municipal bonds would provide
a higher taxable equivalent yield if you were to increase your taxable
income by adding some taxable bonds to your portfolio. Keep in mind,
however, that you will be trying to hit a moving target that will
be affected by the trading relationship of the taxable and tax-free
markets. When comparing offerings, calculate the after-tax yield
on the taxable bond to be sure it nets more than the municipal.
(In your bracket you will net 80% of the taxable bond yield.) As
you start to add taxable bonds to the mix, you must also keep an
eye on your tax bracket, which will creep up and alter the equation.
You must adjust your calculations accordingly.
You answered your own questions accurately regarding the tax treatment
of premium and discount bonds. The IRS does not allow the investor
to declare a capital loss on premium bonds that mature at 100. But
there is a capital gains tax due on the appreciation of a bond purchased
at a discount.
Almost all revenue bonds are issued with some sort of "catastrophic,"
"condemnation" or "extraordinary" call provision,
but these calls are rarely exercised and the criteria are fairly
stringent.
Take solace in the fact that bond investors have influenced issuers
and underwriters over the years by resisting issues that provide
little or no call protection. This is why 10 years has become the
standard provision.
6/17/05
Maturing zero coupon bonds
You received an e-mail from "P.W." on 2/9/05 regarding
the need to report a maturing tax- free zero coupon bond to the
IRS. The 1040 schedule in which capital gains are reported asks
for purchase and selling prices of a security. How should the tax
filer make clear that the bond was a tax-free muni zero and, therefore,
no tax is due even though there was a difference between the purchase
and selling prices? Also, in your response to P.W., you stated,
"Based on the original cost, munis can be subject to capital
gains." Can a tax-free zero muni be subject to capital gains?
If so, how would this be calculated?
J.F.
Mr. Klotz responds: If your zero coupon bond
was purchased at the time of issuance, the tax-free interest earned
on the zero coupon municipal bond acts to increase your cost basis
in the security. Your adjusted cost at maturity would then be equal
to the redemption price, which indicates no tax is due.
If the zero coupon bond is purchased after issuance, below its accreted
value, the difference between the adjusted cost basis and the redemption
price could be subject to capital gains tax.
Please consult your tax advisor for a definitive answer regarding
your specific situation.
6/13/05
Bond ratings
Assuming an unrated municipal bond has the equivalent credit quality
of, say a BBB rated municipal bond, what is the typical or average
increase in basis points for being unrated, also assuming same maturity?
P.K. Colorado
Mr. Klotz responds: Although bond ratings
can be helpful in providing general guidelines to investors, they
are not the last word in determining how a bond will be valued in
the marketplace. Assuming all other factors are equal (coupon, maturity,
location, etc), all BBB bonds will not necessarily trade similarly.
Certain non-rated bonds can command a higher price than rated bonds
based on market participants' perception of underlying credit quality.
There are also instances when issuers chose not to apply for a rating
to avoid the fees charged by the rating agencies.
6/10/05
Forecasting in a fog
I thought you might be interested in a Bloomberg article, "U.S.
Bond Forecasters, Wrong on Yields in 2004, Blow It Again."
The best thing about this article is that these guys take no responsibility
for their bad calls. They say that they will be proven right. Most
of them have called for higher rates since Oct. 31, 2001, by telling
people to stay short. They have cost investors billions of dollars.
They just don't get it.
B.N., West Virginia
Mr. Klotz responds: I did see the article
and your point is well taken: Individual investors who followed
these prognostications and stayed on the sidelines suffered. And
yes, the soothsayers spout their predictions with impunity. It is
sad and costly.
But not everyone stayed on the sidelines for the past four years.
At FMSbonds, we have assisted thousands of new investors, enabling
them to take advantage of longer-term bonds and maximize their income
and reinvestable cash flow.
As we have pointed out many times over the past four years, there
is indeed a cost of waiting. It is simply impossible to time the
market and extremely unwise to try. And if there is any question
as to the reliability of these forecasts, the comment by one oracle
- that he's comfortable using a dartboard to come up with his forecasts
- should put those doubts to rest.
I continue to urge parents to encourage their children to become
economists, which is the only profession in which they can be paid
handsomely without having to be right.
(As a side note: I no longer receive nasty e-mails questioning
my intelligence for not recommending laddering or remaining in cash
until interest rates rise. But alas, that reprieve may be temporary.)
5/23/05
Rate hikes?
At the start of Greenspan's interest rate hikes, when the masses
were calling for higher interest rates on bond yields, you were
right when you stated that you would not be surprised if yields
peaked. Now that it seems that the masses are lowering their yield
expectations, I'm curious to know whether you think we might see
higher rates again.
A.C., New Jersey
Mr. Klotz responds: Right now we don't see
anything on the horizon to make us expect higher long-term interest
rates. However, we are a bit uncomfortable, with all the recent
company.
5/20/05
Investing idle cash
I was very pleased to stumble across your Web site and find a firm
that supports my investment strategy. I therefore trust your answers
to some questions that I have (and believe me, that says a lot).
My family has invested in municipal bonds for generations and I
have followed suit. I am currently managing my portfolio exactly
as my father and grandfather do, but I have some questions that
I would like you to answer because their answers are simply that
it's "the way we've always done it."
First, I only buy long-term premium munis for the highest Yield
to Call/Yield to Maturity that I can find, exactly as you suggest.
I normally wait for the interest to build to a certain amount before
I buy another bond. I do this because I can get a better price by
buying a bigger chunk of bonds. It takes a few months to get to
this point, and I sit on the cash in the meantime. (It's actually
in a type of money-market account.) If I don't need all of the income
to live off of, how would you suggest investing it until I have
enough to buy another bond?
Second, I currently live in Washington, D.C., where my munis from
all over the country are triple exempt. If I decide to move to New
York for a few years with the intention of returning to D.C., what
would you recommend doing? I obviously don't want to liquidate my
holdings and reinvest them in N.Y. bonds because, for one, I would
get hosed on the bid/ask spread. Should I just weather the few years
and pay the state and local tax? Third and finally, when a muni
is pre-refunded, do you recommend selling it?
T.B., Washington, D.C.
Mr. Klotz responds: Thank you for the
kind words. It is always nice to hear from someone who has employed
this strategy over the years, since you have experienced, first
hand, how successful it has proven to be.
As a buy-and-hold investor you may want to investigate purchasing
"odd lots" with the additional income accruing from your
portfolio. These smaller blocks should actually be cheaper, unless
you are buying a small piece of a larger block of bonds. We don't
recommend this when resale is a consideration.
You have probably answered your own question when it comes to your
temporary relocation to New York (although you might want to look
into the possibility of retaining your Washington D.C. domicile
during this period). You are correct in thinking that transaction
costs could prove more onerous than paying the New York tax.
We recommend selling pre-refunded bonds if the value of the bonds
increases to such an extent that the "new" yield on these
securities (return per dollar invested) becomes prohibitive. Although
you will probably be unable to match the income, you should be able
to have more principal working at a much higher yield. This opportunity
is most prevalent when the pre-refunded date is at least four or
more years away.
5/19/05
Hazy about tobacco bonds
I saw an ad about your site in Sunday's paper. Just went online
to investigate it but was turned off on your story about "good
news for the tobacco investor." You guys completely turned
me off with it seems support for the tobacco industry. I can find
investments many other places and will skip your site.
G.R., New York
Mr. Klotz responds: We think you are confused
about the nature of tobacco bonds. Here's a little background that
might clarify things for you.
In 1998, an agreement was signed between the four largest tobacco
companies and 50 states and territories. The accord, known as the
Master Settlement Agreement, requires the original tobacco companies,
plus 36 companies that signed afterward, to pay approximately $206
billion over 25 years to the states as repayment for health costs
borne by the states from smoking-related illnesses. The states,
in return, agreed not to sue tobacco companies who are part of the
agreement.
Many states - including New York - sought immediate access to their
portion of the settlement funds and chose to securitize them using
the tax-free bond market. Incidentally, New York has issued more
than $2.5 billion of these bonds.
These bonds have proved to be popular among investors. In fact,
the states combined have issued approximately $20 billion of these
securities, the majority of which are owned by individual investors.
As a municipal bond dealer, our job is to provide important information
to municipal bond holders regarding the status of their investments.
That's what we're doing when we report on news that might affect
the bonds. (Judging by the volume of correspondence we receive,
many investors appreciate it.)
Our news is not directed to people who own stock in tobacco companies,
as your e-mail suggests, but to holders of the tobacco settlement
bonds issued by states.
Tobacco bonds are the result of tobacco makers being punished,
not rewarded. An investment in tobacco bonds does not support the
tobacco industry. It simply ensures that states get their money
sooner rather than later. (As it turns out, many states now depend
on funds from the tobacco settlement.)
In regard to your comment about seeking investments elsewhere:
We hope you choose to do business with us, but if not, it may be
impossible to find a firm that doesn't sell or report on tobacco
bonds (or, for that matter, firms that don't sell or report on the
stock of tobacco companies).
For more on tobacco bonds, visit our Commentary
and Analysts' Insight
pages or scroll down on this page.
5/19/05
Capital Appreciation Bonds
I am in a bit of a quandary. I am attempting to find specific information
on CABs (Capital Appreciation Bonds), such as how they work exactly
and the relation to a refinanced structured loans. If you could
provide any reference material or point me in the right direction
I would greatly appreciate it.
J.A., New York
Jay Abrams, Chief Municipal Credit Analyst, FMSbonds,
Inc. responds: The Municipal Securities Rulemaking Board
(MSRB) defines a Capital Appreciation Bond:
A municipal security on which the investment return on an initial
principal amount is reinvested at a stated compounded rate until
maturity, at which time the investor receives a single payment (the
"maturity value") representing both the initial principal
amount and the total investment return. CABs typically are sold
at a deeply discounted price with maturity values in multiples of
$5,000. CABs are distinct from traditional zero coupon bonds because
the investment return is considered to be in the form of compounded
interest rather than accreted original issue discount. For this
reason only the initial principal amount of a CAB would be counted
against a municipal issuer's statutory debt limit, rather than the
total par value, as in the case of a traditional zero coupon bond.
I am not aware of any particular relationship to a "refinanced
structured loan" that you refer to. CABS are frequently issued
for both new capital project purposes as well as refunding issues.
For further information, you may wish to visit the MSRB's Web site
(www.msrb.org) or contact the Public Finance Department of either
a regional or national investment banking firm. Such firms have
great experience in structuring bond issues and are well versed
in the benefits of different bond maturity schedules and related
concepts.
5/17/05
Don't forget state income taxes when determining taxable equivalents.
In K.B.'s inquiry of 2/09/05 (see below, "Taxable equivalent")
pertaining to computing equivalent returns on taxable vs non-taxable
bonds, you referred to a chart entitled "Tax-exempt/Taxable
Yield Equivalents" in the Bond
Basics section of your Web site. The problem is, it doesn't
give the complete picture on equivalents. It pertains to federal
tax only and therefore is applicable only to those few states with
no state income tax. Most people reside in states that have state
income taxes and, obviously, this tax must be considered when computing
equivalents between taxable and non-taxable instruments. In California,
where I reside, the maximum income tax rate is 9.3% - a substantial
amount. To determine if a state tax-exempt bond or bond fund is
appropriate, one must compute the tax-exempt bond or bond fund's
"taxable equivalent yield." This figure enables one to
take federal and state income taxes into account when comparing
the potential returns from taxable and non-taxable instruments.
For completeness, I believe it should be mentioned when questions
arise relating to equivalents between tax exempt and taxable instruments.
C.A., California
Mr. Klotz responds: Your point is well taken.
Veteran bond investors residing in California and other states with
significant state taxes are usually aware of the need to avoid "out
of state" issues (other than U.S. territories). Newcomers to
the market should be made aware of the potential impact when venturing
across state lines. We will be sure to add this addendum to any
future discussion of this topic.
5/3/05
Finding pre-refunded bonds
I am interested in municipal bonds that are pre-refunded and collateralized
in U.S. securities. The maturity can go way out, as I want high
interest. Why do you rate some of the municipal bonds insured by
MBIA as AAA? Do you think MBIA could weather two or three bankruptcies
in municipal bonds? I think it's doubtful. I consider insurance
on municipal bonds valueless. Are you a member of CIPA or SIPC?
D.J
Mr. Klotz responds: The ratings we display
on our Web site are assigned by Standard & Poors Corp. and Moody's
Investor's Service. FMSbonds is a bond dealer, not a rating agency.
Based on the required reserve structure of bond insurers, such as
MBIA, we are confident that MBIA could easily weather multiple defaults
on issues it insures.
Yes, we are a member of SIPC.
Pre-refunded bonds carry shorter maturities because tax-free bonds
are typically refinanced and escrowed to their call dates. You will
find a number of these offerings on our Web site designated by a
"pre" on the left of the YTM column.
5/2/05
Are high yields and early call dates linked?
I have been investing in municipal bonds for the last three to
four years simply because they provided a reasonable rate of return
relative to risk. I have noticed that the high yields and early
call dates are related. What I mean is, when the rates (yields)
are at historic highs, the issuer usually puts in a call date at
five to 10 years on a 30-year bond. So there is no point in waiting
to time the market (assuming you can do it) because you can't really
lock in the rate for 30 years. If rates do fall five to 10 years
from the issue date, the issuer can call. I observed this on the
following basis. If rates now (about 4.5%) are low compared to historic
highs (10 to 12%), then I do not see any bonds available today with
a coupon of 10 to 12% at a high price to compensate for today's
relative lower rate. Given this, there is no reason to wait to lock
in a rate even if there is a fairly general consensus that rates
will go up in the next year. In your long experience, have you seen
bonds issued at high rates (10%) comparable to long-term S&P
average rates without call features? Did anyone get lucky?
K.K.
Mr. Klotz responds: Although your observations
may be correct, we think your conclusion may not be. Most new bonds
are still being issued with 10-year call dates. The higher coupon
bonds you refer to were issued when interest rates were higher and
had a 10-year call feature at that time (ex. callable 5/1/09 at
102.00). Today the bond is callable in four years because of the
time that has elapsed since its issuance.
The state of California still has some non-callable outstanding
debt carrying interest rates of 10%. Most of these issues are nearing
their final maturity dates.
4/29/05
Buying registered bonds
I have one primary requirement before purchasing a bond: I must
have the certificate mailed to me after the purchase. I understand
that it's inconvenient when selling the bond, but that is not a
concern. I do not actively trade in the bond market; rather, I keep
the bonds to maturity or the call date. Do you provide this service,
and if so, what is your charge to register the bonds in my name
and have the interest payments sent to me directly through the paying
agent?
J.M.
Mr. Klotz responds: Although most bonds
are issued today in book entry form, there are still some registered
bonds available in the market. If bonds are "registerable,"
we would be pleased to register them in your name, have the certificates
mailed to you and you will receive your interest payments directly
from the paying agent. There is no charge for this service.
4/27/05
Calling ETMs
Your article (ETMs
and You) hits the ETM issue right on point, but there is one
item that still is rather perplexing: In the case of the New York
City escrowed bonds or any other ETMs with call provisions, why
would the bonds be called? I understand that any "profit"
from the underlying Treasury price appreciation is kept by the IRS,
so financial motivation seems to be ruled out, unless there's some
nominal administrative expense associated with keeping the bonds
outstanding. Could this be it or is it something else?
J.M., Michigan
Mr. Klotz responds: The IRS has prohibited
municipal bond issuers from profiting from the arbitrage created
by the spread between taxable and tax-free interest rates. However,
issuers can still reap the rewards of price appreciation of the
escrowed Treasury securities (after taxes).
4/22/05
Muni bonds for school improvements
My county wants to issue $60 million in bonds for capital improvements
to our school system. Many question the advisability of using bonds
vs. some other form of ad valorem tax or use of a lottery or sales
tax. I think alternatives to the bond issue might, in the long run,
be more expensive and less suitable to the intended purpose. The
bond issue seems to be advantageous in that it obtains the money
up front and is, in effect, a sunset law that expires on the maturity
date. As we all know, taxes go on forever, even after the original
purpose has ceased to exist. Further, the cost to the taxpayer will
be less with a bond issue than with any other means of obtaining
funding. Assuming a 30-year issue with a base interest rate of 4.5%,
the county would need to raise about $2.7 million annually for interest
payments and create a sinking fund of under $2 million to cover
payments at or before maturity. These funds could likely be obtained
by some form of property transfer tax, so future residents would
be assuming a fair share of the school expense burden. Am I off
the wall? Is there a better way to raise this money? If bonds are
the way to go, what interest rate and term should be expected? D.C.
Mr. Klotz responds: We don't think you are
off the wall.
The traditional method for funding public school improvements is
through the municipal bond market.
The bonds are typically General Obligations of the issuing municipality,
secured by property taxes.
As you suggested, the debt service is usually structured in serial
form (bonds would be retired each year), extending over the life
of the facility. The quality of the issue would be based on the
assessed valuation of the county and its history of tax collections.
The expected interest rate would depend on the schedule of redemption
and the credit quality of the issuer.
4/19/05
MBIA and investor comfort
Like many other Americans, I am growing weary of corruption and
fraud in major companies. The most recent company facing serious
allegations of misconduct is MBIA (Rating
Agencies Say MBIA Still Solid), no small player in the municipal
bond market. Is this the tip of an iceberg? Are the bond insurance
companies so eager to issue and so closely tied to the ratings agencies
that they are getting reckless? It seems to me that most municipal
bonds are now insured, clearly suggesting to a trusting public that
there is little risk of default. Some of these insurers have been
in business for only a relatively short time and have hundreds of
billions of dollars in guarantees out there. Where can investors
get information on the underlying credit ratings of muni bonds?
Most brokers and dealers show only AAA when the bond is insured.
False comfort?
J.P.
Jay Abrams, Chief Municipal Credit Analyst, FMSbonds,
Inc., responds: While we don't know the outcome of investigations
into MBIA's management practices, we do know they have an extremely
strong capital base supporting the insurance contracts they have
written. In addition, MBIA mainly insures large visibility credits
in the tax-exempt market, which normally have strong investment
grade credit quality on their own. The same is true for other bond
insurers.
In many cases, underlying credit ratings can be obtained directly
from the rating agencies themselves. However, in-depth analyses
usually require an expensive subscription. You might try the Web
sites for S&P, Moody's and Fitch to see which bonds you own
have public ratings.
Finally, we are confident in the level of review all three rating
agencies conduct on the bond insurers on an ongoing basis. Both
the transactions and capital adequacy of bond insurers are reviewed
continually and must meet target levels to maintain their ratings.
It is a rare occurrence for a bond insurer to fall short on these
measures.
4/18/05
Using funds in a qualified plan to buy muni bonds
My husband and I are looking into investing in bonds to generate
an income stream so we can build a retirement home and use the money
to pay the mortgage. What tax implications are there for taking
money out of a 401K or an IRA to invest in the bond market? We think
that this might be the best way to go for us, but we have to look
at the cost involved. Can you offer any information regarding this
dilemma?
J.R., Arizona
Mr. Klotz responds: If you are not referring
to your mandatory distribution, there can be penalties as well as
tax consequences for withdrawing funds from a qualified plan. Typically,
funds can be withdrawn from an IRA at the age of 59 1/2 with no
penalty and mandatory distributions must be taken starting at age
70 1/2.
Because there are many different scenarios that might apply, we
suggest you contact us or your tax advisor to discuss your specific
situation.
4/15/05
Mismanagement when bonds are called?
As a trustee of a non-profit organization and without financial
background, I am frequently confused at the discussions about the
$30 million portfolio. Are there any rules that would point to carelessness?
Twenty years ago, I was told that if bonds are called on a regular
basis, it indicates a lack of attention because we should be selling
them before they are called. What should I look for to determine
if our broker's buy/sell recommendations are maximizing his commissions?
If, for instance, we are investing $150,000, would it be better
to buy one bond or three $50,000 bonds? I understand diversity is
an issue, but are commissions and fees based on the total dollar
amount or the number of bonds purchased?
P.H., Ohio
Mr. Klotz responds: Having bonds called
does not reflect a poorly managed portfolio. Since most calls are
announced 30 days prior to taking place, the bonds could not be
sold at a high enough price to allow replacement of the income lost
on the bonds about to be called.
Issues that are advance refunded (refinanced) to the call date are
a different story. There is usually ample time to find an adequate
replacement for these bonds since most pre-refundings are announced
years before the actual call date.
Typically, when a bond is pre-refunded, its maturity is shortened
to the call date and the quality is enhanced because the bond to
be called is escrowed in Treasury bonds. This causes a rise in the
bond's value and a reduction of its yield, making an exchange for
higher yield much more feasible. In most cases, this will also result
in capturing a profit on the sale. We recommend replacing bonds
in these instances because it allows the investor to execute a buy
and sell under the same market conditions, rather than being subject
to unknown future market conditions at the time the actual call
occurs.
Although it is difficult to give hard and fast rules for appropriate
block sizes, $150,000 in one bond is not considered a large purchase
in a $30 million bond portfolio.
Yes, brokers compensation is typically determined by the size of
the transaction. The number of bonds purchased usually equates to
the total dollar amount.
4/15/05
Converting AMT bonds
Over the years, I've used the usual formulas of taking my federal
tax bracket and the smaller correction for the state tax bracket
in calculating the effective yield of a taxable interest investment
and comparing the result with a non-taxable yield. In the past couple
of years I've been subject to the Alternative Minimum Tax (AMT)
and it appears that the effective interest earnings on bonds subject
to AMT becomes significantly lower. Should these bonds be sold and
replaced with non-AMTs or does the cost of selling and buying replacement
non-AMT bonds result in a "wash"? This probably needs
to consider the maturity of the AMT's but I would appreciate your
thoughts.
E.S., New Jersey
Mr. Klotz responds: Since the lowest AMT
rate is 26%, it is absolutely prohibitive for an AMT taxpayer to
own municipal bonds that are subject to AMT.
$100,000 in AMT bonds paying 5% or $5,000.00 annually would net
$3,700 per year after paying the AMT.
Converting AMT bonds to non-AMT securities would cost an investor
between 25-40 basis points (your 5% yield might be reduced to 4.6%
or 4.75%). This is a far less onerous price to pay.
4/11/05
Premium bonds
I will retire in about five years and would like to have some income
and also be able to keep the feds from taking so much. What do you
think? My wife and I have a joint annual income of about $115,000,
which puts us in the 25% federal tax bracket. We paid about $2,500
last year in federal taxes. I would like to buy muni bonds, about
$75,000 worth, with a maturity date of about 10 years. I don't mind
paying premium prices based upon your explanations in other responses
I read. However, will premium prices paid exceed the money we will
make from interest earned over a 10-year period of time? Are munis
suitable for us? I saw under one of your links - "insure bonds"
- there was a column representing coupon, yield to maturity and,
finally, worst yield. What is the difference between coupon and
yield to maturity?
S.W.
Mr. Klotz responds: The coupon rate is the
fixed rate of return paid annually on the face value of the bond.
This figure never varies regardless of the bond's price. Price changes
are reflected in the yield. When prices rise, yields drop.
When the yield is lower than the coupon rate, the bond trades at
a premium price. If the yield is higher than the coupon rate, the
bond trades at a discount.
The worst case yield reflects the lowest possible return that the
bond investment can produce. This is usually the yield to call on
premium bonds.
When buying premium bonds, every dollar invested (including premium
dollars) is working at a rate at least equal to the worst case yield.
Therefore, income earned will always exceed the premium paid.
For more on premium bonds, you may wish to read a past article
on "Finding
Value in this Market."
4/8/05
Laddering if interest rates jump?
Regarding your articles about problems with laddering: have you
considered that if interest rate jumps to 10%, your original investment
of $500,000 will decline? The principle investment value will be
much less than $535,000.
W.L., Maryland
Mr. Klotz responds: For "buy and hold"
investors, market value is irrelevant. It is the additional interest
received that distinguishes the long-term approach from laddering
and produces more reinvestable income.
Over the life of long-term bonds they are sometimes worth more than
their original cost and sometimes less. In either case the higher
cash flow keeps coming. If long- term rates jumped to 10%, the additional
income generated by the long-term portfolio would allow for reinvestment
at these higher rates.
The laddered portfolio, while sacrificing 25% to 40% of income on
a current basis, still only has bonds maturing every two years.
When a short-term bond matures, the laddering strategy calls for
buying a 10-year bond, which again will probably produce only 50%
to 60% of the long rate.
Remember, any period of time that the U.S. economy experienced 10%
rates was subsequently followed by a recession, which brought much
lower interest rates.
4/8/05
Barbell?
I have recently refinanced property I own that had $975,000 in
equity. Now, after the refinance, I have about $480,000 left in
equity and I will receive about $400,000 in cash. I'm 35 and already
have $150,000 in the stock market (half of that is in my retirement
accounts). My federal, state and local tax rate equals about 40%.
I am not really interested in buying a place to live at this time.
I am very interested in buying into the bond market, with two goals
in mind: decreased tax liability and increased cash flow. I'm new
to your site, so am only beginning to find out that you are the
first source of information of the many I've consulted cautioning
against a laddered municipal bond portfolio. But I wonder, what
your thoughts are on a barbell portfolio? Or do you think it's best
simply to go for the highest yields within my comfort zone?
N.D., New York
Mr. Klotz responds: We agree with your last
thought. Determine the amount of funds that you can comfortably
earmark for long-term investment and buy the highest yields available,
commensurate with satisfactory credit quality.
The barbell approach sacrifices so much income that regardless
of the direction of interest rates, you will be hard pressed to
equal the return on long-term bonds even if rates do move higher.
The theory behind the barbell approach is to maintain some "dry
powder" if interest rates rise and then commit these funds
to long-term bonds. In our experience, picking this entry point
is extremely tricky. Haven't all the experts been predicting higher
rates for the last four years?
4/5/05
Excellent article. It's disappointing that even The Wall Street
Journal gets it half right, although they are consistent. My experiences
with your organization have been excellent and I appreciate the
expertise.
M.P., Florida
3/30/05
*****
Agree
B.T., Michigan
3/29/05
Too bad for them as rates have been steadily rising!
J., New York
Mr. Klotz responds: Long-term investors
buy bonds for income. Long-term interest rates are lower today than
when the Fed started raising rates in June 2004.
3/29/05
Flat tax?
I think tax-exempt bonds are great but what do you think will happen
to bonds when Congress passes a flat tax?
D., California
Mr. Klotz responds: We think any change
in the current tax code would be designed to have very little impact
on the municipal bond market.
Although we don't envision the enactment of a pure "flat tax,"
the tax-reform committee may recommend some version of a "consumption"
tax. Most of the consumption tax proposals that are being discussed
still project higher tax rates for wealthier taxpayers, who would
still invest in munis for higher after-tax yields.
There are other reasons that suggest the effects on the municipal
bond market would be minimal, including:
* Yields on long-term AAA tax-free bonds are pretty much the same
today as the yields on long-term Treasury bonds. This means they
are already inexpensively priced compared to taxable securities.
* The municipal bond market was created to allow states, municipalities
and political subdivisions to borrow at reasonable rates for construction
of "public purpose" projects (sewers, schools, etc). Since
the public cannot afford to compete in the private sector capital
markets, some mechanism would be required to accommodate borrowing
for public projects.
Powerful private interests, the budget deficit and the Alternative
Minimum Tax problem make us less than optimistic that any tax reform
package will be enacted over the near term.
3/28/05
Muni bond investing at 70
Your Web site is full of excellent and useful information on investing
in municipal bonds. However, I am 70 and retired (my wife is 68)
and we need to produce about $35,000 per year in after-tax income
from a muni-bond portfolio for the next five years and then have
it adjusted to cover cost-of-living increases as they occur. I would
hope to live to 90, or about 20 years from now, which would be my
investment horizon. In my case, the use of 30-year bonds would not
be feasible, (in 30 years I would be 100). Therefore, what is your
strategy/opinion on investing in intermediate-term munis (20- year
bonds) in our particular case?
R.S., Florida
Mr. Klotz responds: Your goal should not
necessarily be to outlive your investments. The goal should be to
create as much income as possible in your lifetime, since bonds
are treated the same as cash in your estate. Over the years we have
also found that individuals are not always accurate when pinpointing
their own "maturity date."
We cannot answer your questions regarding your income needs without
knowing the amount of funds available for investment.
3/28/05
Virginia resident, California bond funds
I recently inherited some shares of two tax-free California bond
funds. I am a Virginia resident but have a small amount of California
income from a rental property there and therefore do file a non-resident
California state return along with my Virginia return. Are these
type of funds generally tax-free to in-state residents only? Is
there a reason for a Virginia resident to hold California bonds?
My inclination is to liquidate them, though I'd be interested in
your thoughts.
S.B., Virginia
Mr. Klotz responds:Your inclination is correct.
Your California bond funds are subject to Virginia State tax.
3/28/05
New bond issues
I am unable to determine how I can purchase municipal bonds during
the "initial offering period" when the purchase fees are
paid to the initial seller. It appears that the brokers are now
buying up the bonds for their own accounts and then selling them
back to their clients at an additional fee. I consider this double
dipping and taking unfair advantage of their clients! How do I prevent
this? What system and procedure is necessary?
F.P., Arizona
Mr. Klotz responds: Your broker should be
willing to take your order for a new bond issue if his firm is involved
in the underwriting syndicate. If your order is submitted during
the "order period" and the bonds are available, you will
receive your bonds at the original terms. If it is a "hot issue"
and the order period is "oversubscribed," larger orders
will take precedence and your order may not be filled.
3/28/05
GM
Can you give me your opinion on GM? Based on the legacy of the
pensions and medical cost they have, their poor lineup of cars,
loss of market share and high gas prices, I see no way they can
avoid Chapter 11 if they want to level the playing field and be
able to compete with Toyota and the likes.
J.P., Florida
Jay Abrams, Chief Municipal Credit Analyst, FMSbonds,
Inc., responds: Clearly, as you mention, General Motors is
facing onerous internal burdens related to employee retirement and
health costs while also being challenged by an unfavorable market
reception for its cars. The important question to ask is whether
GM can weather the storm. We believe it will.
GM's recent abrupt announcement that it was revising its earnings
estimates downward surprised Wall Street and brought negative reactions
from all three rating agencies. The company's new estimates foresee
a first quarter loss and reduced earnings for the year to the $1
to $2 per share range.
We see no cause for panic. The automobile industry is cyclical
by nature and its major players have gone through this before. Chrysler,
the smallest of the "Big Three," offers the best turnaround
example.
GM's challenges are great, but so is its opportunity. The company,
and its GMAC subsidiary, are sitting on approximately $50 billion
in cash, it is still forecasting a positive bottom line, and despite
market share erosion, remains North America's largest automaker.
Certainly, if GM were to do nothing, the slide would continue. But,
that is not likely to be the case. We believe both GM and the United
Auto Workers recognize that health care and pension costs must be
brought under control if GM is to remain competitive in its markets.
We also believe that GM will undertake a reorientation of its brands
and models to better suit changing consumer tastes.
This all takes time. In fact, things may get worse before they
get better. But, GM has weathered two world wars, the Great Depression,
oil shortages and countless economic downturns. At this point, we
see no reason to believe GM won't turn the ship around. GM has the
resources and, we believe, the support of labor to reform itself
and remain a major automobile producer, although likely on a smaller
scale.
For GM bondholders, we believe the company's problems will have
few repercussions on its debt. GMAC bondholders, in particular,
are secured by automobile loans made in the past to purchasers of
GM's cars. People making car payments don't stop because the company's
earnings forecast has changed. Second, GM has numerous assets it
could monetize if it needed to raise cash. And cash will be plentiful
in the foreseeable future. Third, should a rating downgrade occur,
it by no means portends a bankruptcy. Many of America's largest
companies (such as Georgia-Pacific) are rated in the "BB"
range, are profitable, and continue to make timely debt service
payments.
In summary, we acknowledge the problems GM faces, but we also recognize
the resources GM has at its disposal to become a smaller, more nimble
competitor in the world's automobile markets.
3/28/05
Where are we?
Your Web site is excellent, concise, thorough and complete. One
piece of information I was not able to find was the physical location
of FMSbonds. Where are your headquarters located and where do you
have branch offices? Do you have any offices in New Mexico? I am
kept well informed of new bond offerings by Edie Nasello, for which
I am most grateful.
A.C., New Mexico
Mr. Klotz responds:We serve muni bond investors
from across the country from our offices in Boca Raton, Florida,
where our Internet division is located, and North Miami Beach, Florida.
This, and other biographical information, can be found on the About
Us page of our Web site. Thank you for the kind words regarding
Edie. We are also pleased with the way she represents our firm.
3/23/05
Learning more
I'd like to get smarter about muni bonds. I want to learn more
about bond ratings and bonds that aren't rated (NRs). I'd like to
know how to tell if the bond has been making payments and learn
any important news such as credit upgrades or downgrades for the
writers. Also, there are different bond types: Health Care Facility
Revenue Bonds, Airport Revenue Bonds, Industrial Development Revenue
Bonds, etc. What are the default risks or down sides to these different
classes of bonds? How do I find out when their bond ratings were
last reviewed? I'd bet that there is some honey to be found in bonds
that aren't rated, bonds whose ratings have not been reviewed in
some time, bonds with higher coupons, trade below par and may be
callable. I would suspect these would be available in odd lots.
C.S., Florida
Jay Abrams, Chief Municipal Credit Analyst, FMSbonds,
Inc., responds: As far as learning more about the tax-exempt
bond market, bond types and ratings, we can recommend two books
that are highly regarded: The Bond Market Association, The Fundamentals
of Municipal Bonds, (Wiley, 2001), Fifth ed., ISBN: 0471393657.
Robert Zipf, How Municipal Bonds Work, (New York Institute of Finance),
ISBN 0131226568.
For detailed information on bond ratings, including their methodology,
you might try the Web sites of the three major rating agencies:
Moody's Investors Service: www.Moodys.com, Standard and Poor's:
www.standardandpoors.com and
Fitch: www.fitchratings.com
While all three are designed to serve market professionals (with
fees to match), they do provide limited free access. They will provide
the criteria used by each agency to rate various bonds, rating trends,
access to actual ratings and rating reports and other articles of
interest. Further details may require a paid subscription.
Non Rated (NR) bonds will not be accessible from the rating services.
You would
need the help of a broker to determine relative values for this
class of bonds.
3/11/05
Bonds for California residents
I am 55, looking to retire and need to produce about $350,000 per
year after-tax income from a muni-bond portfolio for the next 10
years, and then have it adjusted to cover cost-of-living increases
as they occur. I would expect to live to 85 years, or about 30 years
from now, which would be the investment horizon. I am a California
resident and thus prefer a CA muni portfolio so that it is double
tax-free here. How do YTMs (yield to maturities) on 20- to 30-year
munis compare using out-of-state issues vs. CA issues, assuming
comparable risk parameters? Is there a better annual cash-flow return
from a national muni-portfolio if one were to relocate to a state
like Florida? I have read your strategies page and have learned
that committing to the highest yield instead of laddering (which
is what most financial advisers suggest!), is the better strategy.
Therefore, what is the best strategy to achieve this investment
scale and how much time will it take to assemble such a portfolio?
S., California
Mr. Klotz responds: You will find since the
California State tax on out of state bonds can be as high as 9.3%
of income, California issues or bonds of U.S. territories are your
only reasonable choices. Out of state purchases will become even
more prohibitive if any new tax law eliminates the deduction of
state tax from your federal taxes.
There is no question that the cash flow would be greater for a Florida
resident since there is no state income tax in Florida.
Naturally, the ability to produce $350,000 of annual income would
depend on the amount invested and the prevailing rates at that time;
$7 million invested at an average rate of 5% would yield $350,000
in annual income. An average rate of 4.5% would require approximately
$7.75 million to produce the desired income.
3/8/05
Buying out-of-state bonds
My home state is CT. My advisers often tell me that a purchase
of out-of-state bonds will be better than acquiring more CT bonds.
When I ask why, I can never get an answer that completely satisfies
me. They mention diversification, ratings and AMT but does it always
come down to personal judgment? Is there a more technical answer?
Also, I am considering buying Nuveen MuniPreferred (CT or not?)
for some short-term funds. Do you have any comment on that?
J.W., Connecticut
Mr. Klotz responds:We must confess that we
also can't understand why your advisors would recommend out-of-state
municipal bond purchases to a Connecticut resident. The state has
enough issuers to provide ample diversification and enough insured
bonds to provide more than adequate security without shrinking your
yield by paying state taxes on your tax-free income. We think that
the Nuveen Preferred funds make sense as a "parking place"
for funds awaiting investment. Nuveen offers a Connecticut version
of this fund. Please be aware that these funds differ from traditional
money market funds and can only be liquidated on specific dates.
3/8/05
Bond miscellanea
How can you find out when dividends are paid on muni bonds? Do
they have an ex-dividend date like stocks? How is interest paid
to (say new buyer)? Is interest prorated between old holder and
new holder? Seems like you should know these things when buying
tax-exempt bonds.
K.B. Alaska
Mr. Klotz responds: The vast majority of
municipal bonds pay interest semi-annually.
You are correct. If a bond is bought or sold in between payment
dates, the accrued interest is prorated to reflect the number of
days since the last interest payment.
Interest on tax-free bonds is computed on a 30-day per month/360-day
per year basis. There is no ex-dividend date.
3/7/05
When do you load the boat?
Your website is full of excellent and useful information on investing
in municipal bonds. I know your feelings on buying good quality
bonds when the money is available for investment. In your tenured
opinion, doesn't it seem that rates just do not seem all that exciting
at the moment? And I realize that you probably are constantly buying,
but is there a rate at which you really step up and load the boat?
Again, you guys do great work, and when you said that rates might
peak out after the first rate increase, you could not have been
more correct. I know that you do not time the market, but you were
correct.
A.C., New Jersey
2/9/05
Mr. Klotz responds: Thank you for the kind
words. As you know, we also say that trying to forecast the future
direction of interest rates is a treacherous and unrewarding pursuit.
Although we always carry a large inventory of tax-free bonds, there
are times when we think the muni market is particularly attractive.
Most important to us is the relationship between tax-free and taxable
yields. Even though tax-free rates may appear low, AAA munis yield
as much or more than comparable Treasury bonds. There is also a
decided yield advantage when compared to high-grade corporate bonds.
Yield curve
We all know about the yield curve, which shows that the mid range
is the best place to buy bonds. That is 10 to 14 years out. In the
current interest rate climate, why lock yourself in for 30 years?
I ladder my portfolio by buying 10- to 12-year bonds, preferably
Baa. I have been doing this successfully for 35 years.
A.F.
2/9/05
Mr. Klotz responds: We agree that in today's
market, there is value to be found in the intermediate range of
the yield curve because the curve has flattened since last summer.
As you know, this has not always been the case.
We are sure that your strategy has served you w |