It’s About Fundamentals, Not Parties

Klotz on Bonds

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<h3>James A. Klotz</h3>

James A. Klotz

The recent elections may have shaken up the political landscape across the country, but the lens for municipal bond investors remains the same.

Credit quality, taxes and opportunities to secure attractive tax-exempt income have always been the focus of investors, and that hasn’t changed.

While turnover in federal and state leadership can influence government spending and financing decisions, what matters to investors is how those decisions could affect the bonds they own or might purchase.

Munis after the election

Stable outlook

On the federal level, where Democrats control Congress and a Republican is in the White House, Franklin Templeton sees a potentially reassuring development for municipal bond investors.

“From a municipal market perspective, divided government could stabilize federal tax policy by making sweeping legislative changes less likely,” the firm said in a recent report.

Credit quality still matters

Despite political and economic uncertainty, municipal credit quality has remained healthy, analysts said. In its third-quarter review, Invesco reported credit rating upgrades continued to outpace downgrades, while financial conditions remained sound across states and municipalities.

Goldman Sachs offered a similar assessment last month, citing healthy reserve balances and a resilient economy as factors supporting municipal credit quality.

The election results are unlikely to alter that picture. In a post-election report, Franklin Templeton noted that election outcomes alone rarely determine municipal credit quality. Rather, an issuer’s financial reserves, revenue diversity and fiscal management remain the more important considerations.

Rates, supply and income opportunities

Meanwhile, municipal bond yields rose sharply in September before easing in October. Declining Treasury yields, strong investor demand and lighter new issuance helped lift bond prices (which move in the opposite direction of yields). In fact, the Bloomberg Municipal Bond index recorded its strongest October since it began tracking returns in 1980.

“The rally was driven by declining U.S. Treasury yields, as investors sought perceived safe havens amid a drawdown in technology stocks,” Invesco’s head of municipals said.

Despite the rebound, municipal bond yields remain attractive, offering investors opportunities to secure tax-exempt income at levels rarely seen in recent years (“What’s Fueling the Not-So-Boring Muni Market”).

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    James A. Klotz

    President

    Meanwhile, the supply of bonds continues to expand. According to the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association, $521 billion of municipal bonds were issued through October, 3.9% more than during the comparable period in 2025. Voter-approved bond authorizations may add to the range of available securities.

    Of course, more supply means more choice for investors across maturities, sectors and credit ratings.

    For long-term investors, a practical approach after the elections should still guide their decisions: Evaluate credit quality, compare yields after taxes and consider the income available today in light of personal objectives.

    Political leadership may change, but the fundamentals of municipal bond investing remain the same: Align your objectives with your bond selections and keep your interest clock ticking.

    James A. Klotz

    President

    James A. Klotz is the President of FMSbonds, Inc.
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    Nov 12, 2026