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Negative outlook on most tobacco bonds

Q

You’ve moved away from tobacco bonds (“Clouds Darkening for Tobacco Bonds“), but they have differing parameters depending on the issue. Do you dislike the higher-rated ones (“BBB,” “A”) as well?

D.L., New York

A

James A. Klotz responds:

Although, as you say, tobacco bonds are structured in a variety of ways, our outlook is still negative in the majority of cases.

Our opinion is influenced by domestic cigarette sales projections and the national movement toward smoke-free public buildings and other areas. E-cigarettes and increasingly higher taxes on tobacco will also dampen domestic sales.

Naturally, we are more sanguine on some of the older issues, particularly if they enjoy state enhancement.

Jan 9, 2015

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