Dynamic Muni Market Prizes Informed Investors

Klotz on Bonds

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<h3>James A. Klotz</h3>

James A. Klotz

Amid soaring issuance and waves of reinvestment dollars, municipal bond investors are encountering an environment that increasingly rewards those with sharp insight, timely information and a clear view of where value is emerging.

Second-quarter trading volumes hit a record high, and mutual fund inflows remain strong. Quality bonds are being snapped up quickly, making it important for investors to stay engaged and attuned to shifts in demand and value across the curve.

S&P reaffirms rating

Confidence in the broader market remains solid. This week S&P reaffirmed the United States’ AA+ credit rating, citing increased tariff revenue as a key offset to the fiscal impact of recent tax cuts and spending measures.

“Amid the rise in effective tariff rates, we expect meaningful tariff revenue to generally offset weaker fiscal outcomes that might otherwise be associated with the recent fiscal legislation, which contains both cuts and increases in tax and spending,” S&P said in a report.

Dynamic Muni Market Prizes Informed Investors

“At this time, it appears that meaningful tariff revenue has the potential to offset the deficit-raising aspects of the recent budget legislation.”

That reaffirmation helps support the muni market backdrop, particularly for investors focused on underlying credit fundamentals and longer-term income stability, as federal credit strength bolsters confidence in state and local obligations.

Supply meeting demand

Meanwhile, total municipal issuance has already reached $366 billion in 2025 and is on pace to hit $575 billion to $600 billion by year-end, according to The Bond Buyer.

Most of that supply is being met with steady demand, thanks in part to an estimated $55 billion in August reinvestment cash from maturing bonds and interest payments.

Individual investors continue to play a significant role in the market. A recent week saw nearly 375,000 muni bond trades, many in lot sizes that indicate individuals are active and steadily adding to their portfolios.

Regional issuance trends

Beneath the national surge in issuance, certain regions are seeing outsized increases.

The 11 states that make up the Midwest issued $46.05 billion of bonds in the first six months of the year, an increase of almost 30% compared with the same period last year.

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    Midwest states with the biggest jump include Nebraska (84.8%) and Iowa (77.4%).

    At the same time, large-volume states like California, Texas and New York continue to dominate the supply landscape, with New York recently expanding its issuance through several sizable deals.

    What’s clear is that investor interest remains strong, fueled by reinvestment flows, credit confidence and attractive yields (“Record Muni Supply Leads to Juicy Yields”).

    But desirable bonds are being quickly absorbed.

    For individual investors, that makes staying informed and responsive essential in today’s competitive environment.

    James A. Klotz

    President

    James A. Klotz is the President of FMSbonds, Inc.
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    Aug 21, 2025